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Peer-reviewed papers

Peer Journal sample covers

It is BTO’s policy to make public the results of our research. Our aim is to publish as much as possible of our work in the peer reviewed scientific literature.  Many results are also published in our BTO Research Report series.

Elston, D.A., Brewer, M.J., Martay, B., Johnston, A., Henrys, P.A., Bell, J.R., Harrington, R., Monteith, D., Brereton, T.M., Boughey, K.L., Pearce-Higgins, J.W. 2017. A New Approach to Modelling the Relationship Between Annual Population Abundance Indices and Weather Data. Journal of Agriculture, Biological and Environmental Statistics : 1-19 Link to Article (DOI: 10.1007/s13253-017-0287-4)
Wheatley, C.J., Beale, C.M., Bradbury, R.B., Pearce‐Higgins, J.W., Critchlow, R & Thomas, C.D. 2017. Climate change vulnerability for species—Assessing the assessments. Global Change Biology 23 (part 9) : 3 704-3 715 Link to Article (DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13759)
Grafius, D.R., Corstanje, R., Siriwardena, G.M., Plummer, K.E. & Harris, J.A. 2017. A bird's eye view: using circuit theory to study urban landscape connectivity for birds. Landscape Ecology 32 : 1 771-1 787 View Abstract Link to Article (DOI: 10.1007/s10980-017-0548-1)
Sutherland W.J., Clements A., McDevitt, A.-M., Harper M., Herkenrath P., Prichard S., Margerison C., Monk K.A., Thompson D.B.A. 2017. What are the forthcoming legislative issues of interest to ecologists and conservationists in 2012?. Bulletin of the British Ecological Society 43 (part 1) : 12-19 View Abstract
Thaxter, C.B., Clark, N.A., Ross-Smith, V.H., Conway, G.J., Bouten, W. & Burton, N.K.H. 2017. Sample size required to characterize area use of tracked seabirds. The Journal of Wildlife Management Wiley View Abstract Link to Article (DOI: 10.1002/jwmg.21283)
Bell, S.C., El Harouchi, M., Hewson, C.M. & Burgess, M.D. 2017. No short- or long-term effects of geolocator attachment detected in Pied Flycatchers Ficedula hypoleuca. Ibis View Abstract Link to Article (DOI: 10.1111/ibi.12493)
Palmer, G., Platts, P.J., Brereton, T., Chapman, J.W., Dytham, C., Fox, R., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Roy, D.B., Hill, J.K. & Thomas, C.D. 2017. <p>Climate change, climatic variation and extreme biological responses</p>. Philosphical Transactions of the Royal Society B 372 Link to Article (DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2016.0144)
Buchanan, G.M., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Douglas, D.T.J. & Grant, M.C. 2017. Quantifying the importance of multi‐scale management and environmental variables on moorland bird abundance. Ibis 159 (part 4) : 744-756 Link to Article (DOI: 10.1111/ibi.12488)
Worthington-Hill, J. & Conway, G. 2017. Tawny Owl Strix aluco response to call-broadcasting and implications for survey design. Bird Study 64 (part 2) : 205-210 View Abstract Link to Article (DOI: 10.1080/00063657.2017.1315047)
M.V. Bell, Calladine, J. 2017. The decline of a population of farmland breeding waders: a twenty-five-year case study. Bird Study 64 (part 2) : 264-273 Link to Article (DOI: 10.1080/00063657.2017.1319903)
Eichhorn, M.P., Ryding, J., Smith, M.J., Gill, R.M.A., Siriwardena, G.M. & Fuller, R.J. 2017. Effects of deer on woodland structure revealed through terrestrial laser scanning. Journal of Applied Ecology 54 (part 6) : 1 615-1 626 Link to Article (DOI: 10.1111/1365-2664.12902)
Calladine, J., Humphreys, E.M., Gilbert, L., Furness, R.W., Robinson, R.A., Fuller, R.J., Littlewood, N.A., Pakeman, R.J., Ferguson, J. & Thompson, C. 2017. Continuing influences of introduced hedgehogs Erinaceus europaeus as a predator of wader (Charadrii) eggs four decades after their release on the Outer Hebrides, Scotland. Biological Invasions 19 : 1 981-1 987 Link to Article (DOI: 10.1007/s10530-017-1422-4)
Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Brown, D.J., Douglas, D.J.T., Alves, J.A., Bellio, M., Bocher, P., Buchanan, G.M., Clay, R.P., Conklin, J., Crockford, N., Dann, P., Elts, J., Friis, C., Fuller, R.A., Gill, J.A., Gosbell, K., Johson, J.A., Marquez-Ferrando, R., Masero, J.A., Melville, D.S., Millington, S., Minton, C., Mundkur, T., Nol, E., Pehlak, H., Piersma, T., Robin, F., Rogers, D.I., Ruthrauff, D.R., Senner, N.R., Shah, J.N., Sheldon, R.D., Soloviev, S.A., Tomkovich, P.S. & Verkuil, Y.I. 2017. A global threats overview for Numeniini populations: synthesising expert knowledge for a group of declining migratory birds . Bird Conservation International 27 : 6-34 View Abstract Link to Article (DOI: 10.1017/S0959270916000678)
Border, J.A., Newson, S.E., White, D.C.J. & Gillings, S. 2017. Predicting the likely impact of urbanisation on bat populations using citizen science data, a case study for Norfolk, UK. Landscape and Urban Planning 162 : 44-55 Link to Article (DOI: 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2017.02.005)
Evens, R., Conway, G. J., Henderson, I. G., Creswell, B., Jiguet, F., Moussy, C., Sénécal, D., Witters, N., Beenaerts, N. & Artois, T. 2017. Migratory pathways, stopover zones and wintering destinations of Western European Nightjars Caprimulgus europaeus. Ibis Link to Article (DOI: 10.1111/ibi.12469)
Newson, S. E., Bas, Y., Murray, A. & Gillings, S. 2017. Potential for coupling the monitoring of bush-crickets with established large-scale acoustic monitoring of bats. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 8 : 1 051-1 062 Link to Article (DOI: 10.1111/2041-210X.12720)
Baker, D. J., Hartley, A. J., Pearce-Higgins, J. W., Jones, R. G., & Willis, S. G. 2017. Neglected issues in using weather and climate information in ecology and biogeography. Diversity & Distributions Link to Article (DOI: 10.1111/ddi.12527)
Cox, D.T.C., Shanahan, D.F., Hudson, H.L., Plummer, K.E., Siriwardena, G.M., Fuller, R.A., Anderson, K., Hancock, S. & Gaston, K.J. 2017. Doses of neighborhood nature: the benefits for mental health of living with nature. BioScience 67 (part 2) : 147-155 Link to Article (DOI: 10.1093/biosci/biw173)
Oliver, T.H., Gillings, S., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Brereton, T., Crick, H.Q.P., Duffield, S.J., Morecroft, M.D. & Roy, D.B. 2017. Large extents of intensive land use limit community reorganization during climate warming. Global Change Biology 23 : 2 272-2 283 Link to Article (DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13587)
Cook, A.S.C.P. & Robinson, R.A. 2017. Towards a framework for quantifying the population-level consequences of anthropogenic pressures on the environment: The case of seabirds and windfarms. Journal of Environmental Management 190 : 113-121 Link to Article (DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2016.12.025)
Morley, T.I., Fayet, A.L., Jessop, H., Veron, P., Veron, N., Clark, J.A., Wood, M.J. 2016. The seabird wreck in the Bay of Biscay and South-Western Approaches in 2014: A review of reported mortality. Seabird 29 : 22-38 View Abstract
Martay, B., Monteith, D.T., Brewer, M.J., Brereton, T., Shortall, C.R. & Pearce-Higgins, J.W. 2016. An indicator highlights seasonal variation in the response of Lepidoptera communities to warming. Ecological Indicators 68 : 126-133 View Abstract Link to Article (DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2016.01.057)
Mcmahon, B.J., Purvis, G., Sheridan, H., Siriwardena, G.M. & Parnell, A.C. 2016. A novel method for quantifying overdispersion in count data and its application to farmland birds. Ibis Link to Article (DOI: 10.1111/ibi.12450)
Horswill, C., O'Brien, S. & Robinson, R.A. 2016. Density-dependence and marine bird populations: Are wind farm assessments precautionary?. Journal of Applied Ecology Link to Article (DOI: 10.1111/1365-2664.12841)
Border, J. A., Henderson, I. G., Redhead, J. W. & Hartley, I. R. 2016. Habitat selection by breeding Whinchats Saxicola rubetra at territory and landscape scales.. Ibis 159 : 139-151 Link to Article (DOI: 10.1111/ibi.12433)
Morrison, C.A., Robinson, R.A., Butler, S.J., Clark, J.A. & Gill, J.A. 2016. Demographic drivers of decline and recovery in an Afro-Palaearctic migratory bird population. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 283 (part 1 842) View Abstract Link to Article (DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2016.1387)
Miller, M. W., Leech, D. I., Pearce-Higgins, J. W. & Robinson, R. A. 2016. Multi-state multi-stage modeling of nest-success suggests interaction between weather and land-use. Ecology 98 : 175-186 View Abstract Link to Article (DOI: 10.1002/ecy.1629)
Clark, N.A., Anderson, G.Q.A., Li, J., Syroechkovskiy, E.E., Tomkovich, P.S., Zöckler, C., Lee, R. & Green, R.E. 2016. First formal estimate of the world population of the Critically Endangered spoon-billed sandpiper Calidris pygmaea​. Oryx 52 (part 1) : 137-146 Link to Article (DOI: 10.1017/S0030605316000806)
Martay, B., Brewer, M.J., Elston, D.A., Bell, J.R., Harrington, R., Brereton, T.M., Barlow, K.E., Botham, M.S. & Pearce-Higgins, J.W. 2016. Impacts of climate change on national biodiversity population trends. Ecography View Abstract Link to Article (DOI: 10.1111/ecog.02411)
Kosmider, R., Smith, J., Gillings, S., Snow, L., Breed, A.C., Irvine, R.M. & Hill, A. 2016. Updated risk of H5N1 HPAI incursion to poultry in Great Britain via wild birds. Veterinary Record 179 : 464-464 Link to Article (DOI: 10.1136/vr.103700)
Fuller, R.J., Williamson, T., Barnes, G. & Dolman, P.M. 2016. Human activities and biodiversity opportunities in pre‐industrial cultural landscapes: relevance to conservation. Journal of Applied Ecology 54 : 459-469 Link to Article (DOI: 10.1111/1365-2664.12762)
Plummer, K.E., Hale, J.D., O’Callaghan, M.J., Sadler, J.P. & Siriwardena, G.M. 2016. Investigating the impact of street lighting changes on garden moth communities. Journal of Urban Ecology 2 (part 1) Link to Article (DOI: 10.1093/jue/juw004)
Ross-Smith, V.H., Thaxter, C.B., Masden, E.A., Shamoun-Baranes, J., Burton, N.H.K., Wright, L.J., Rehfisch, M.M. & Johnston, A. 2016. Modelling flight heights of Lesser Black-backed Gulls and Great Skuas from GPS: a Bayesian approach. Journal of Applied Ecology 53 (part 6) Link to Article (DOI: 10.1111/1365-2664.12760)
Hewson, C.M., Thorup, K., Pearce-Higgins, J.W. & Atkinson, P.W. 2016. Population decline is linked to migration route in the Common Cuckoo, a long-distance nocturnally-migrating bird. Nature Communications Link to Article (DOI: 10.1038/ncomms12296)
Broughton, R.K., Alker, P.J., Bellamy, P.E., Britton, S., Dadam, D., Day, J.C., Miles, M. & Hinsley, S.A. 2016. <p>Comparative biometrics of British Marsh Tits Poecile palustris and Willow Tits P. montana</p> . Ringing & Migration 31 (part 1) : 30-40 Link to Article (DOI: 10.1080/03078698.2016.1195209)
Rock, P., Camphuysen, C.J., Shamoun-Baranes, J., Ross-Smith, V.H. & Vaughan, I.P. 2016. Results from the first GPS tracking of roof-nesting Herring Gulls Larus argentatus in the UK. Ringing & Migration 31 (part 1) View Abstract Link to Article (DOI: 10.1080/03078698.2016.1197698)
Morrison, C.A., Robinson, R.A, Clark, J.A. & Gill, J.A. 2016. Causes and consequences of spatial variation in sex ratios in declining bird species. Journal of Animal Ecology 85 : 1 298-1 306 View Abstract Link to Article (DOI: 10.1111/1365-2656.12556)
Morrison, C.A., Robinson, R.A., & Pearce-Higgins, J.W. 2016. Winter wren populations show adaptation to local climate. Royal Society of Open Science View Abstract Link to Article (DOI: 10.1098/rsos.160250)
Thackeray, S.J., Helaouet, P., Johns, D.G., Jones, I.D., Bacon, P.J., Brereton, T.M., Carvalho, L., Clutton-Brock, T.H., Duck, C., Edwards, M., Elliott, J.M., Hall, S.J.G., Harrington, R., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Pemberton, J.M., Sparks, T.H., Thompson, P.M., White, I., Winfield, I.J., Henrys, P.A., Hemming, D., Leech, D.I., Bell, J.R., Botham, M.S., Burthe, S., Mackay, E.B., Massimino, D., Høye, T.T., Kruuk, L.E.B., Wanless, S. & Atkinson, S. 2016. Phenological sensitivity to climate across taxa and trophic levels. Nature View Abstract Link to Article (DOI: 10.1038/nature18608)
Dyer, R.J., Gillings, S., Pywell, R.F., Fox, R., Roy, D.B. & Oliver, T.H. 2016. Developing a biodiversity-based indicator for large-scale environmental assessment: a case study of proposed shale gas extraction sites in Britain. Journal of Applied Ecology 54 : 872-882
Clewley, G.D., Norfolk, D.L., Leech, D.I. & Balmer, D.E. 2016. Playback survey trial for the Little Owl Athene noctua in the UK. Bird Study 63 (part 2) : 268-272 Link to Article (DOI: 10.1080/00063657.2016.1180344)
Warwick-Evans V.C., Atkinson P.W., Robinson L.A. & Green J.A. 2016. Predictive modelling to identify near-shore, fine-scale seabird distributions during the breeding season. PLoS ONE 11 (part 3) Link to Article (DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0150592)
Warwick-Evans, V., Atkinson, P.W., Arnould, J.P.Y., Gauvain, R., Soanes, L., Robinson, L., & Green J.A. 2016. Changes in behaviour drive inter-annual variability in the at-sea distribution of northern gannets. Marine Biology 163 (part 7) Link to Article (DOI: 10.1007/s00227-016-2922-y)
Warwick-Evans, V., Green, J.A. & Atkinson, P.W. 2016. Survival estimates of Northern gannets Morus bassanus in Alderney: Big data but low confidence. Bird Study 63 (part 3) : 380-386
Phillimore, A.B., Leech, D.I., Pearce-Higgins, J.W. & Hadfield, J.D. 2016. Passerines may be sufficiently plastic to track temperature-mediated shifts in optimum lay date. Global Change Biology Link to Article (DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13302)
Murray, C., Minderman, J., Allison, J. & Calladine, J. 2016. Vegetation structure influences foraging decisions in a declining grassland bird: the importance of fine-scale habitat and grazing regime. Bird Study 63 (part 2) : 223-232 Link to Article (DOI: 10.1080/00063657.2016.1180342)
Zöckler, T., Beresford, A.E., Bunting, G., Chowdhury, S.U., Clark, N.A., Kan Fu, V.W., Htin Hla, T., Morozov, V.V., Syroechkovskiy, E.E., Kashiwagi, M., Lappo, E.G., Tong, M., Long, T.L., Yu, Y-T., Huettmann, F., Akasofu, H.K., Tomida, H. & Buchanan, G.M. 2016. The winter distribution of the Spoon-billed Sandpiper Calidris pygmaeus. Bird Conservation International Link to Article (DOI: 10.1017/S0959270915000295)
Sansom, A., Pearce-Higgins, J.W. & Douglas, D.J.T. 2016. Negative impact of wind energy development on a breeding shorebird assessed with a BACI study design. Ibis 158 (part 3) : 541-555 Link to Article (DOI: 10.1111/ibi.12364)
McLean, N., Lawson, C.R., Leech, D.I. & van de Pol, M. 2016. Predicting when climate-driven phenotypic change affects population dynamics. Ecology Letters Link to Article (DOI: 10.1111/ele.12599)

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