RAS results

Dipper is a RAS priority species.
There are currently eight
active Dipper projects. 

RAS aims to generate annual survival rate estimates for adult birds, focusing primarily on species not encountered in large numbers during standard mist netting activities such as CES.

In total, 188 RAS projects were active in 2023. Data from historical projects and active projects that have been running successfully for five or more years are included in the analyses of the national results presented here.

The RAS analyses generate two parameters: survival rates and re-encounter rates. The survival rates indicate the proportion of birds that survive and return to the site to breed each year, while the re-encounter rates provide a measure of the probability of a bird’s presence being detected should it have survived and returned; the higher the re-encounter rate, the more precise the survival estimate.

The table and graphs below present the mean re-encounter rates, survival rates and survival trends for all species for which we have sufficient data to produce a trend. For more information about the RAS results, please see the Explanatory Notes pages.

Summary results

The summary table of active and historical RAS projects shows, for each species, how many projects ran in 2023 and how many projects contributed to each trend.

It is apparent from these data that some species, e.g. Pied Flycatcher, House Sparrow, lend themselves well to RAS and uptake has been very high.  Priority species for future RAS recruitment are those for which established studies are producing reliable survival trends but currently only at a few sites; these include Barn Owl, Dipper, Mute Swan, Starling, Swallow and Tree Sparrow.

The other table below summarises the mean survival and re-encounter rates by species. Re-encounter rates may be heavily influenced by methodology and several general patterns are apparent:

  • Species that are caught on or near nests/nestboxes, such as Dipper, Barn Owl and Pied Flycatcher, tend to exhibit higher re-encounter rates for females as they spend more time incubating and brooding the contents than the males do.
  • Species caught using tape lures, e.g. Willow Warbler, Sedge Warbler, tend to exhibit higher re-encounter rates for males.
  • Colony nesters, such as seabirds and Sand Martins, tend to have lower re-encounter rates as it is much harder to systematically target individual birds.

While not summarised in this table, re-encounter rates are also generally higher in studies using colour rings, e.g. Bearded Tit, Kittiwake, Shag and Wood Warbler, but this is obviously dependent on resighting effort.

Summary of active and historical RAS projects in 2023

Species

Number of projects contributing to the survival trend

Number of projects active in 2023

Number of projects new in 2023

Survival Trend Quality

Mute Swan

4

6

0

Good

Eider

5

2

0

Uncertain

Swift

3

1

0

Uncertain

Rock Dove

0

1

0

-

Woodpigeon

1

1

0

Uncertain

Collared Dove

2

1

0

Uncertain

Ringed Plover

1

1

1

Good

Little Ringed Plover

1

0

0

Uncertain

Common Sandpiper

3

1

0

Moderate

Kittiwake

8

7

0

Good

Great Black-backed Gull

1

1

0

Moderate

Herring Gull

1

1

0

Moderate

Lesser Black-backed Gull

3

1

0

Moderate

Little Tern

1

1

0

Uncertain

Common Tern

1

1

0

Uncertain

Arctic Tern         

1

1

0

Moderate

Guillemot

5

4

0

Good

Razorbill

4

3

0

Good

Puffin

2

2

0

Good

Storm Petrel

5

2

0

Moderate

Fulmar

0

1

0

-

Shag

4

3

1

Uncertain

Barn Owl             

4

4

0

Good

Little Owl

1

1

0

Moderate

Tawny Owl

1

1

0

Moderate

Peregrine

1

1

0

Moderate

Chough

1

1

0

Good

Jackdaw

5

5

0

Good

Rook

1

2

0

Uncertain

Marsh Tit

4

4

0

Uncertain

Blue Tit

2

2

0

Uncertain

Great Tit

4

2

0

Moderate

Bearded Tit

3

1

0

Moderate

Sand Martin

23

8

0

Good

Swallow

8

1

0

Good

House Martin

6

1

0

Moderate

Wood Warbler

2

1

0

Uncertain

Sedge Warbler

3

2

0

Moderate

Reed Warbler

11

9

1

Good

Garden Warbler

1

0

0

Uncertain

Whitethroat

2

1

0

Moderate

Starling

18

24

2

Good

Robin

2

2

0

Moderate

Nightingale

2

1

0

Moderate

Pied Flycatcher

30

20

0

Good

Whinchat

1

0

0

Moderate

Stonechat

3

3

1

Moderate

Wheatear

6

3

0

Moderate

Dipper

8

6

0

Good

Tree Sparrow

4

3

0

Uncertain

House Sparrow

20

16

1

Good

Dunnock

2

1

0

Uncertain

Tree Pipit

2

3

0

Moderate

Hawfinch

3

3

0

Moderate

Bullfinch

5

2

0

Moderate

Twite

2

0

0

Good

Linnet

2

3

3

Moderate

Siskin

8

8

0

Moderate

Reed Bunting

1

1

0

Moderate

Total

258

188

10

Mean survival and re-encounter rates by species

Survival Re–encounter
Species Duration of project F M Single sex F M Single sex
Mute Swan 2013-2023 - - 66 - - 58
Eider 1998–2023 86 - - 40 - -
Woodpigeon 2012–2023 - - 60 - - 53
Collared Dove 2012–2023 57 47 - 26 24 -
Little Ringed Plover 2000–2021 54 71 - 40 42 -
Common Sandpiper 1977–2023 67 64 - 63 63 -
Kittiwake 2000–2023 - - 83 - - 30
Great Black-backed Gull 2015-2023 - - 86 - - 55
Herring Gull 2012-2023 - - 88 - - 59
Lesser Black–backed Gull 2003–2023 - - 83 - - 43
Little Tern 2017-2023 - - 94 - - 73
Common Tern 2016-2023 - - 69 - - 46
Arctic Tern 2013-2023 - - 84 - - 74
Guillemot 1981–2023 - - 82 - - 29
Razorbill 1981–2023 - - 88 - - 17
Puffin 2008–2023 - - 93 - - 12
Storm Petrel 1998–2023 - - 79 - - 21
Shag 1998–2023 87 86 - 30 30 -
Barn Owl 1997–2023 67 67 - 46 28 -
Little Owl 2006–2023 72 - - 77 - -
Tawny Owl 2006–2023 82 75 - 59 58 -
Peregrine 2004–2023 85 84 - 79 74 -
Chough 2018–2023 90 79 81 75
Jackdaw 2006–2023 80 71 - 47 39 -
Rook 2017–2023 - - 79 - - 70
Marsh Tit 2003–2023 - - 46 - - -
Blue Tit 2001–2023 62 55 - 33 47 -
Great Tit 1999–2023 59 56 - 45 35 -
Bearded Tit 2002–2023 30 42 - 37 30 -
Sand Martin 1990–2023 30 34 - 39 33 -
Swallow 1998–2023 37 41 - 71 52 -
House Martin 1994–2023 32 29 - 34 51 -
Wood Warbler 2003–2023 23 33 - 55 52 -
Sedge warbler 2014-2023 25 38 - 43 50 -
Reed Warbler 1981–2023 47 45 - 27 34 -
Garden Warbler 2011–2022 27 48 - 44 39 -
Whitethroat 2015-2023 41 37 - 35 36 -
Starling 2005–2023 50 52 - 45 42 -
Robin 1974–2023 40 44 - 44 45 -
Nightingale 2011–2023 46 55 - 34 54 -
Pied Flycatcher 1980–2023 41 43 - 65 53 -
Whinchat 2011–2022 29 42 - 72 83 -
Stonechat 2002–2023 24 30 - 64 78 -
Wheatear 1998–2023 52 52 - 62 66 -
Dipper 2002–2023 52 50 - 68 63 -
Tree Sparrow 2007–2023 33 27 - 30 14 -
House Sparrow 2003–2023 42 45 - 57 57 -
Dunnock 1998–2023 40 38 - 68 58 -
Tree Pipit 2011–2023 - - 47 - - 59
Hawfinch 2011–2023 67 68 - 32 39 -
Bullfinch 1999–2023 38 40 - 52 57 -
Twite 2007–2022 34 35 - 69 71 -
Linnet 2003–2023 27 34 - 51 49 -
Siskin 2004–2023 36 34 - 12 15 -
Reed Bunting 2014-2023 42 46 - 55 66 -

Species specific results

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